Judgment under Uncertainty：Heuristics and Biases

Thethirty-fivechaptersinthisbookdescribevariousjudgmentalheuristicsandthebiasestheyproduce,notonlyinlaboratoryexperimentsbutinimportantsocial,medical,andpoliticalsituationsaswell.Individualchaptersdiscusstherepresentativenessandavailabilityheuristics,problemsinjudgingcovariationandcontrol,overconfidence,multistageinference,socialperception,medicaldiagnosis,riskperception,andmethodsforcorrectingandimprovingjudgmentsunderuncertainty.Abouthalfofthechaptersareeditedversionsofclassicarticles;theremainingchaptersarenewlywrittenforthisbook.Mostreviewmultiplestudiesorentiresubareasofresearchandapplicationratherthandescribingsingleexperimentalstudies.Thisbookwillbeusefultoawiderangeofstudentsandresearchers,aswellastodecisionmakersseekingtogaininsightintotheirjudgmentsandtoimprovethem.