书目

Antifragile[反脆弱性:无序的收获]

内容简介

NassimNicholasTaleb,thebestsellingauthorofTheBlackSwanandoneoftheforemostthinkersofourtime,revealshowtothriveinanuncertainworld.Justashumanbonesgetstrongerwhensubjectedtostressandtension,andrumorsorriotsintensifywhensomeonetriestorepressthem,manythingsinlifebenefitfromstress,disorder,volatility,andturmoil.WhatTalebhasidentifiedandcalls“antifragile”isthatcategoryofthingsthatnotonlygainfromchaosbutneeditinordertosurviveandflourish.InTheBlackSwan,Talebshowedusthathighlyimprobableandunpredictableeventsunderliealmosteverythingaboutourworld.InAntifragile,Talebstandsuncertaintyonitshead,makingitdesirable,evennecessary,andproposesthatthingsbebuiltinanantifragilemanner.Theantifragileisbeyondtheresilientorrobust.Theresilientresistsshocksandstaysthesame;theantifragilegetsbetterandbetter.Furthermore,theantifragileisimmunetopredictionerrorsandprotectedfromadverseevents.Whyisthecity-statebetterthanthenation-state,whyisdebtbadforyou,andwhyiswhatwecall“efficient”notefficientatall?Whydogovernmentresponsesandsocialpoliciesprotectthestrongandhurttheweak?Whyshouldyouwriteyourresignationletterbeforeevenstartingonthejob?HowdidthesinkingoftheTitanicsavelives?Thebookspansinnovationbytrialanderror,lifedecisions,politics,urbanplanning,war,personalfinance,economicsystems,andmedicine.Andthroughout,inadditiontothestreetwisdomofFatTonyofBrooklyn,thevoicesandrecipesofancientwisdom,fromRoman,Greek,Semitic,andmedievalsources,areloudandclear.AntifragileisablueprintforlivinginaBlackSwanworld.Erudite,witty,andiconoclastic,Taleb’smessageisrevolutionary:Theantifragile,andonlytheantifragile,willmakeit.

作者简介

NassimNicholasTalebhasdevotedhislifetoproblemsofuncertainty,probability,andknowledgeandhasledthreecareersaroundthisfocus,asabusinessman-trader,aphilosophicalessayist,andanacademicresearcher.Althoughhenowspendsmostofhistimeworkinginintenseseclusioninhisstudy,inthemannerofindependentscholars,heiscurrentlyDistinguishedProfessorofRiskEngineeringatNewYorkUniversity'sPolytechnicInstitute.Hismainsubjectmatteris"decisionmakingunderopacity,"thatis,amapandaprotocolonhowweshouldliveinaworldwedon'tunderstand.HisbooksFooledbyRandomnessandTheBlackSwanhavebeenpublishedinthirty-threelanguages.Talebbelievesthatprizes,honorarydegrees,awards,andceremonialismdebaseknowledgebyturningitintoaspectatorsport.纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布,当前最令人敬畏的风险管理理论学者。沃顿商学院企管硕士,巴黎大学博士,目前任纽约大学理工学院杰出教授。曾在纽约和伦敦交易多种衍生性金融商品,也曾在芝加哥当过营业厅的独立交易员。2001年2月正式成为衍生性金融商品交易战略名人堂的一员。他在“9·11”之前大量买入行权价格很低,看似毫无价值的认沽权证,用一种独特的方式做空美国股市,直到恐怖分子劫持飞机撞向纽约世贸大楼,由此获利丰厚,一举成名。此次美国次贷危机爆发之前,他又先知先觉重仓做空,从中获利几百万美元。他的上一本畅销书《黑天鹅的世界》(FooledbyRandomness)以30种语言出版。

—  END  —