书目

The Black Swan：Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility"

内容简介

Ablackswanisanevent,positiveornegative,thatisdeemedimprobableyetcausesmassiveconsequences.Inthisgroundbreakingandpropheticbook,TalebshowsinaplayfulwaythatBlackSwaneventsexplainalmosteverythingaboutourworld,andyetwe—especiallytheexperts—areblindtothem.Inthissecondedition,Talebhasaddedanewessay,OnRobustnessandFragility,whichofferstoolstonavigateandexploitaBlackSwanworld.

作者简介

NassimNicholasTalebhasdevotedhislifetoimmersinghimselfinproblemsofluck,randomness,humanerror,probability,andthephilosophyofknowledge.Hemanagedtotransformhisinterestsintothreesuccessfulcareers,asamanofletters,businessman-trader-riskmanager,anduniversityprofessor.Althoughhespendsmostofhistimeasaflaneur,meditatingincafésacrosstheplanet,heiscurrentlyDistinguishedProfessoratNewYorkUniversity'sPolytechnicInstituteandPrincipalofUniversa.HisbooksFooledbyRandomnessandTheBlackSwanhavebeenpublishedin31languages.Heiswidelyrecognizedastheforemostthinkeronprobabilityanduncertainty.TaleblivesmostlyinNewYork.

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