内容简介
Thisbookpresentsthedefinitiveexpositionof'prospecttheory',acompellingalternativetotheclassicalutilitytheoryofchoice.Buildingonthe1982volume,JudgementUnderUncertainty,thisbookbringstogetherseminalpapersonprospecttheoryfromeconomists,decisiontheorists,andpsychologists,includingtheworkofthelateAmosTversky,whosecontributionsarecollectedhereforthefirsttime.Whileremainingwithinarationalchoiceframework,prospecttheorydeliversmoreaccurate,empiricallyverifiedpredictionsinkeytestcases,aswellashelpingtoexplainmanycomplex,real-worldpuzzles.Inthisvolume,itisbroughttobearonphenomenaasdiverseastheprinciplesoflegalcompensation,theequitypremiumpuzzleinfinancialmarkets,andthenumberofhoursthatNewYorkcabdriverschoosetodriveonrainydays.Theoreticallyelegantandempiricallyrobust,thisvolumeshowshowprospecttheoryhasmaturedintoanewscienceofdecisionmaking.