TheBlackSwanNassimNicholasTaleb

Elegant,startling,anduniversalinitsapplications,TheBlackSwanisaconceptthatwillchangethewayyoulookattheworld.BlackSwansunderliealmosteverything,fromtheriseofreligions,toeventsinourownpersonallives.ABlackSwanisahighlyimprobableeventwiththreeprinciplecharacteristics:itisunpredictable;itcarriesamassiveimpact;and,afterthefact,weconcoctanexplanationthatmakesitappearlessrandomandmorepredictablethanitwas.TheastonishingsuccessofGooglewasablackswan;sowas9/11.AndwhydowealwaysignorethephenomenonofBlackSwansuntilaftertheyoccur?AsNassimNicholasTalebreveals,wearehard-wirednottotrulyestimaterisk,toovulnerabletotheimpulsetosimplify,narrate,andcategorizeandnotopenenoughtorewardingthosewhocanimaginethe'impossible'.Inthisrevelatorybook,Talebexplainseverythingweknowaboutwhatwedon'tknow,andshowsushowtofacetheworld.